Virginia
W-L: ( 8- 9) PR = 90.5563Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 H Navy Patriot (20- 2, 93.0) 10-12 211 H Richmond Atlantic 10 (13- 4, 90.0) 11-12 214 A Maryland Big Ten (18- 4, 93.7) 9-17 218 A Liberty Atlantic Su ( 8-11, 81.7) 17- 8 222 A Notre Dame ACC (12- 6, 93.4) 9- 7 228 H Stanford ACC (17- 5, 95.9) 8-16 304 A Pittsburgh ACC ( 9- 7, 88.7) 10- 7 308 A Florida State ACC ( 4-12, 82.8) 15- 7 311 H Princeton Ivy League (11- 7, 92.6) 12-10 314 H Clemson ACC (15- 6, 94.7) 10-12 321 H Syracuse ACC (14- 6, 93.1) 5- 6 325 H James Madison AAC (14- 7, 90.9) 10-11 328 A Louisville ACC ( 6- 9, 85.9) 12-10 403 H North Carolina ACC (19- 2, 99.9) 4-19 411 H Boston College ACC (10- 8, 92.7) 17-14 416 A Virginia Tech ACC ( 9- 8, 87.1) 13-10 422 N Syracuse ACC (14- 6, 93.1) 9-11
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 H Navy 10-12 -2 -1 -0.90
211 H Richmond 11-12 -1 2 - -2.95
214 A Maryland 9-17 -8 -4 - -3.53
218 A Liberty 17- 8 9 8 1.49
222 A Notre Dame 9- 7 2 -4 +++ 6.19
228 H Stanford 8-16 -8 -4 -- -4.01
304 A Pittsburgh 10- 7 3 0 + 2.52
308 A Florida State 15- 7 8 6 1.57
311 H Princeton 12-10 2 -1 + 2.71
314 H Clemson 10-12 -2 -3 0.81
321 H Syracuse 5- 6 -1 -1 0.16
325 H James Madison 10-11 -1 1 - -2.06
328 A Louisville 12-10 2 3 -1.25
403 H North Carolina 4-19 -15 -8 --- -6.02
411 H Boston College 17-14 3 -1 + 3.80
416 A Virginia Tech 13-10 3 2 0.94
422 N Syracuse 9-11 -2 -3 0.53
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 403 H North Carolina 4-19 -15 -8 --- -6.02 228 H Stanford 8-16 -8 -4 -- -4.01 211 H Richmond 11-12 -1 2 - -2.95 214 A Maryland 9-17 -8 -4 - -3.53 325 H James Madison 10-11 -1 1 - -2.06 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 222 A Notre Dame 9- 7 2 -4 +++ 6.19 304 A Pittsburgh 10- 7 3 0 + 2.52 311 H Princeton 12-10 2 -1 + 2.71 411 H Boston College 17-14 3 -1 + 3.80 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Navy (20- 2, 93.0) 10-12 -6.87 33.29 -1.37 1.02 -4.20
3 H Richmond (13- 4, 90.0) 11-12 -9.93 30.24 -1.37 1.02 -5.75
3 A Maryland (18- 4, 93.7) 9-17 -6.24 33.92 1.37 1.02 -2.48
3 A Liberty ( 8-11, 81.7) 17- 8 -18.22 21.95 1.37 1.02 47.51
3 A Notre Dame (12- 6, 93.4) 9- 7 -6.52 33.65 1.37 1.02 71.36
3 H Stanford (17- 5, 95.9) 8-16 -3.98 36.19 -1.37 1.02 -2.73
3 A Pittsburgh ( 9- 7, 88.7) 10- 7 -11.19 28.97 1.37 1.02 61.84
3 A Florida State ( 4-12, 82.8) 15- 7 -17.14 23.02 1.37 1.02 49.71
3 H Princeton (11- 7, 92.6) 12-10 -7.27 32.90 -1.37 1.02 64.27
3 H Clemson (15- 6, 94.7) 10-12 -5.16 35.01 -1.37 1.02 -3.33
3 H Syracuse (14- 6, 93.1) 5- 6 -6.81 33.36 -1.37 1.02 -4.17
3 H James Madison (14- 7, 90.9) 10-11 -9.04 31.13 -1.37 1.02 -5.30
3 A Louisville ( 6- 9, 85.9) 12-10 -13.96 26.20 1.37 1.02 56.19
3 H North Carolina (19- 2, 99.9) 4-19 -0.00 40.17 -1.37 1.02 -0.70
3 H Boston College (10- 8, 92.7) 17-14 -7.17 33.00 -1.37 1.02 64.46
3 A Virginia Tech ( 9- 8, 87.1) 13-10 -12.77 27.39 1.37 1.02 58.62
3 N Syracuse (14- 6, 93.1) 9-11 -6.81 33.36 -0.00 1.02 -3.47
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441.83
|
winning pts = 473.9555 losing points = -32.1271
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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